Frontiers of Economics and Globalization

List of Contributors (in Alphabetical Order)

Editors’ Introduction – David E. Rapach and Mark E. Wohar

Acknowledgements

References

Part I: Macroeconomic Forecasting

Chapter 1: Forecasting Annual UK Inflation Using an Econometric Model Over 1875-1991

Michael P. Clements and David F. Hendry

Chapter 2: Forecasting UK Inflation: The Roles of Structural Breaks and Time Disaggregation

Jennifer L. Castle and David F. Hendry

Chapter 3: Forecasting with Small Macroeconomic VARS in the Presence of Instabilities

Todd E. Clark and Michael W. McCracken

Chapter 4: Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change

Anindya Banerjee, Massimiliano Marcellino and Igor Masten

Chapter 5: Predictive Inference Under Model Misspecifications

Nii Ayi Armah and Norman R. Swanson

Chapter 6: Forecasting Persistent Data with Possible Structural Breaks: Old School and New School Lessons Using OECD Unemployment Rates

Walter Enders and Ruxandra Prodan

Chapter 7: What Can We Learn From Comprehensive Data Revisions for Forecasting Inflation? Some US Evidence

Pierre L. Siklos

Part II: Financial Forecasting

Chapter 8: Estimating and Forecasting GARCH Models in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Regime Switches

Eric Hillebrand and Marcelo C. Medeiros

Chapter 9: A Source of Long Memory in Volatility

Namwon Hyung, Ser-Huang Poon and Clive W. J. Granger

Chapter 10: Forecasting Stock Return Volatility in the Presence of Structural Breaks

David E. Rapach, Jack K. Strauss and Mark E. Wohar

Chapter 11: Financial Time Series and Volatility Prediction Using NOVAS Transformations

Dimitris N. Politis and Dimitrios D. Thomakos

Chapter 12: Modeling Foreign Exchange Rates with Jumps

John M. Maheu and Thomas H. McCurdy

Chapter 13: Bagging Binary and Quantile Predictors for Time Series: Further Issues

Tae-Hwy Lee and Yang Yang

Chapter 14: Forecasting Interest Rates: An Application of the Stochastic Unit Root and Stochastic Cointegration Frameworks

Robert Sollis

Chapter 15: Bayesian Model Averaging in the Presence of Structural Breaks

Francesco Ravazzolo, Richard Paap, Dick Van Dijk and Philip Hans Franses

Chapter 16: The Economic and Statistical Value of Forecast Combinations Under Regime Switching: An Application to Predictable US Returns

Massimo Guidolin and Carrie Fangzhou Na

Subject Index